Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series
Netflix
Commentary: Will Donald Glover, as John Smith in Amazon Prime Video’s “Mr. & Mrs. Smith,” secure Emmy recognition?
Glover, a versatile talent in acting, writing, producing, and music, has left a significant mark on television, notably with his acclaimed series “Atlanta.” There, he bagged two Emmys in 2017 for lead comedy actor and directing. An 11-time Emmy nominee, his latest nom was for writing the limited series “Swarm” with Janine Nabers. With Amazon’s robust campaign and the current state of the drama field, Glover might land his first drama series nomination.
The competition, though not crowded with frontrunners, includes notable contenders.
Other actors from freshman series entering the race alongside Glover include Nathan Fielder from Showtime’s black dramedy “The Curse,” Colin Farrell headlining Apple’s genre-bending “Sugar” and possibly Walton Goggins from the Amazon’s video game adaptation “Fallout,” contingent on category choice.
Veteran actors from longstanding shows are also vying for recognition. Dominic West, portraying Charles, the Prince of Wales in “The Crown’s” final season, aims for his first Emmy nod, despite acclaimed roles in “The Wire” and “The Affair.” With “The Crown” concluding in December 2023, this year represents the TV Academy’s last chance to nominate him.
Gary Oldman, star of Apple’s “Slow Horses,” is in a strong position to earn his inaugural Emmy nod for his role as Jackson Lamb. Although Oldman won an Oscar for “Darkest Hour,” his Emmy nominations are sparse, with just one for a guest role in “Friends.”
Others hoping for Emmy acknowledgment include Morgan Spector from “The Gilded Age,” having a successful second season, and Tom Hiddleston from “Loki,” who stands as the Marvel actor with the highest Emmy prospects this season. Variety will present Hiddleston with the Variety Virtuoso Award at the Miami Film Festival on Tuesday, April 9 for his career achievements across film, theater and television.
The dynamic nature of the awards season means that new developments can emerge, influencing the race for noms (and wins).
Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.
